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Top related persons:
Evgenia - 1 Anton Tabakh - 1 Vladimir Putin - 1 Anton Siluanov - 1 Denis Popov - 1 Yevgeny Suvorov - 1 Suvorov - 1 Sofya Donets - 1
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Search resuls for: "Anton Tabakh"


3 mentions found


☆ Russia's optimistic fiscal plans risk budget revenue shortfall
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Darya Korsunskaya Alexander Marrow | Darya Korsunskaya | Alexander Marrow | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
But Russia's Accounts Chamber, which oversees budget execution, warned on Monday there were risks the Urals price would fall below $60 in 2024-2026. Russia's forecast sees economic growth of 2.3% in 2024, well above estimates of 1.1% from the International Monetary Fund and 0.5%-1.5% from the Bank of Russia. CHANGING TUNEAt Russia's flagship economic forum in St Petersburg in June, Siluanov said increasing expenditure was difficult, as budget spending had already increased by 1-1/2 times from 2019 to 2022. Now, even as the government outlines plans for spending to jump to 36.7 trillion roubles in 2024, he is more relaxed. Renaissance Capital's Donets and Melaschenko said Russia could create temporary taxes, permanently increase rates of VAT, or adjust Russia's budget rule to permit more spending of energy revenues.
Persons: Evgenia, Anton Tabakh, Vladimir Putin, Anton Siluanov, Denis Popov, Yevgeny Suvorov, Suvorov, Sofya Donets, Andrei Melaschenko, Dmitry Polevoy, Siluanov, Melaschenko, Alexei Sazanov, Sazanov, Konstantin Sonin, It's, Sumanta Sen, Mark Trevelyan, Alexander Marrow, Catherine Evans Organizations: U.S ., Russian, REUTERS, Washington, Finance, International Monetary Fund, Bank of Russia, Capital, Reuters Graphics Russia, University of Chicago, Thomson Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, West, St Petersburg
☆ Higher inflation risks to give Russia no room to cut rates this year
  + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Alexander Marrow Elena Fabrichnaya | Alexander Marrow | Elena Fabrichnaya | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Analysts have gradually raised their forecasts for where the key rate will end this year, to 7.5% from 7.13% in the previous poll. "High budget spending is the key issue," said Anton Tabakh, Chief Economist at RA Expert, who expected the upsurge in inflation at the beginning of the year due to higher budget spending to be contained. "But at the same time, there will be a preventative rate increase and, accordingly, we see the key rate at 7.5% in December, from 8%-8.25% in the middle of the year." Tabakh also said that all risks were higher and the level of uncertainty elevated. Inflation expectations, an indicator to which the central bank pays close attention ahead of meetings, rose to 12.2% in February.
☆ Analysis: Russia's falling oil revenues could create vicious circle for budget, rouble
  + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( Darya Korsunskaya | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Jan 16 (Reuters) - Russia's attempts to plug its budget deficit by selling foreign currency reserves could lead to a vicious circle that pushes the rouble higher and further reduces the Kremlin's crucial export revenues, analysts say. That process could trigger a cycle of weaker export revenues, requiring more foreign currency sales and leading to an even stronger rouble, exacerbating the budget hole. Finance minister Anton Siluanov said in December that the price cap imposed on its oil could mean Russia's budget deficit is wider than current plans for 2% of GDP in 2023. Government officials have also publicly said they would like to see a weaker rouble - something the foreign currency interventions seem likely to prevent. Russia's budget for this year is based on a Urals blend price of around $70.10 a barrel, though Russia's main blend is currently trading at around $50 a barrel.
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